Photo by Daniel Kuleszo on Unsplash
Who makes money on Polymarket's 15-minute markets?
Market-wide data from all traders on Polymarket's 15-minute BTC/ETH markets. Not CandleOdds results.
Every wallet that traded the 15-minute Bitcoin and Ethereum Up/Down markets, counted from Polymarket's public data. A new week every Monday, a new month on the 1st.
Latest month · September 2026
66%
of wallets lost money
Lost money 66.1%Made money 33.5%
The other 0.4% broke even.
Wallets
16,144
Median result
−$2.47
Net result
−$1.12M
Latest week · Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026
61%
of wallets lost money
Lost money 61.0%Made money 38.8%
The other 0.2% broke even.
Wallets
7,372
Median result
−$1.05
Net result
−$356k
Weekly and monthly figures aren't directly comparable: shorter periods look milder.
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